2019-09-06 21:16:00 UTC
I suggest this. Boris Johnson keeps on with his indeterminate reposes such as "I would rather die in a ditch " ? to the question "What will you do if Parliament passes a Bill which obligates you as PM to go to the EU and seek an extension to the leaving date?
At no point before 31st should Johnson say that he will ignore the new law. Rather, he simply carries on making indeterminate statements . It is important that Johnson does this for two reasons: (1) because if he says he will not obey the law he will almost certainly prompt legal action from the likes of Gina Miller and John Major and (2) because he will not have flouted the new law at or said he will flout it at any point up to the 31st October , it will be difficult for the Westminster remainer gang to take any political action against Johnson until the 31st October arrives.
On 31st October Johnson simply fails too ask the EU for a further extension. That should get us out of the EU with a NO DEAL. Brexit because remainer gang will not be able to act quickly enough to stop the UK leaving the EU by default.
At that point Johnson would on the face of it have failed to obey the law,. But what penalty could he suffer? It is a fair bet that there will not be any penalty included in the Act he disobeys. Nor is it easy to see what other criminal offence Johnson might have committed. That being so all the Commons could do would be to launch and win a vote of No Confidence in Johnson which even if he lost would only mean no more than Johnson losing the post of PM.
It is of course possible that remainers will guess what Johnson is up to or simply mistrust Johnson generally before the 31st October is reached. But what if they do? . The only thing that the remainers could do if Johnson behaves as I have suggested is call for a vote of No Confidence.
A vote of No Confidence would do no more than punish Johnson by removing him from No 10. But it could also easily result a general election, the very thing most remainers fear, if no new government can be found within 14 days of the No Confidence vote.
But whatever happens after the 31st October, using the strategy I have laid out one thing is utterly certain: the UK would have left the EU indubitably and could only be put back into it by a future UK government making a request to the EU to rejoin. Moreover, it is difficult politically to see how any new application to join could be made without a new referendum being held, both because it would be a momentous matter and t because he decision to leave was made by a referendum .
Boris Johnson set to defy the law rather than ask for Brexit delay