Post by Phil L Post by MM
There are only 17 millions Brexiters, so
they are very significantly in the minority
That statement can't possibly be true.
There were an equal amount of non voters from both sides of the camp and yet
'leave' won...unless you are suggesting that every single person in the
country who wanted to leave voted? - by that logic, every single person who
wanted to 'remain' also voted.
No, I am suggesting that ALL Brexit-minded voters *did* go and vote,
so the proportion in non-voters of those who would have voted Brexit
was far smaller than for Remain.
Remain's problem was largely complacency. Not even the Leave camp, not
even Nigel Farage, thought Leave would win, and Remainers definitely
didn't think Leave would win, so as far as many Remainers were
concerned, it was a waste of time to go and vote.
There were approximately 13 million who didn't vote, but were eligible
to vote. I would put the figure for would-be Leavers at around 20% and
the figure for Remain at around 60%, with the rest marked down as
Therefore, if ALL Remainers had actually voted, Remain would have
secured an overwhelming majority. Thus, Remain would have received 7.8
million extra votes and Leave an extra 2.6 million. The gap then would
be a large one in favour of Remain.
You can adjust the 20% and 60% estimates if you want, but the number
of would-be Remainers would always be larger, because Leavers had been
trying for 25 or more years to secure a referendum, and therefore the
likelihood that they would not have voted given, finally, the chance
to do so, is very small.
Remainers on the other hand just didn't believe they needed to be
concerned about the referendum, thinking, like Cameron, that it would
be a slam dunk for staying in.