Post by MM
The spokesman for the Food Standards Agency was on Sky News a few
minutes ago and he said that the number of these contaminated eggs
imported to the UK was around 20,000 This equates to around 1 egg in 1
million eggs that ~may~ be contaminated. Furthermore, he said, the
likelihood of anyone suffering any after-effects of eating one is very
No, he's misuing statistics to lie.
Each *year*, we eat about 12.6 billion eggs in the UK. If 20,000 of
those are contaminated, that's one in every 630,000, not one in a million.
But we don't buy our eggs yearly. We buy them, use them and most
probably import them, *weekly*. It's reasonable in my view to assume
that the 20,000 contaminated eggs all came in in one batch in one week.
If that is so, the proportion of contaminated eggs sold and eaten in
that week was actually 20,000 in 240 million, or one in every 12,000 or so.
Given that the per capita consumption of eggs in the UK is 3.7 per week,
the chances of any one person consuming a contaminated egg was 3.7 in
12,000 or one person in every 3250.
The simple way of looking at it, assuming the contaminated eggs were
uniformly distributed amongst the uncontaminated eggs, is that about
20,000 people would have consumed the 20,000 contaminated eggs and may
be suffering the consequences.
Why didn't he say that instead of blustering?